An outpatient physical rehabilitation clinic manager would like to
leverage the monthly patient visit data shown in to
predict visits for the upcoming month.
Month Visits
April 301
May 438
June 415
July 552
August 654
September 556
a. Predict the number of visits in October using the naïve method.
b. Predict the number of visits in October using a four-period moving
average.
c. Predict the number of visits in October using a five-period moving
average.
d. Does this data set appear to exhibit seasonality? If so, what would
be the naïve prediction for next April?
